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2024-12-13 04:58:35

The Japanese yen fell by 0.8% and fell below 151, while the Australian dollar, the commodity currency, rose by over 0.8%. On Monday (December 9, the day after non-farming), the ICE dollar index rose by 0.11% to 106.171 points, which fluctuated violently throughout the day. It was as low as 105.798 points when it was refreshed at 00:01 Beijing time, and then it was pumped back and approached the daily high of 106 when it was refreshed at 12:42. The Bloomberg dollar index rose 0.14% to 1280.69 points, with an intraday trading range of 1276.41-1281.07 points. The dollar rose 0.80% against the yen to 151.20 yen, and the intraday trading range was 149.69-151.35 yen. The euro fell by 0.14% to 1.0553, the pound rose by 0.05% to 1.2751, and the dollar was roughly flat at 0.8788 against the Swiss franc, with a V-shaped reversal at 00:04 to 0.8759 throughout the day. Among commodity currencies, the Australian dollar rose 0.83% against the US dollar, the New Zealand dollar rose 0.58% against the US dollar and the US dollar rose 0.10% against the Canadian dollar. The Swedish krona rose 0.21% against the US dollar and the Norwegian krona rose 0.29% against the US dollar.Oracle Bone Inscriptions said that the total revenue will increase by 7% to 9% in the third quarter, and the cloud business revenue will increase by 23-25% in the third quarter.Comcast closed down 9.5%, the worst one-day performance since 2008.


Bonds are almost in a bearish state. Many brokers expect the Bank of China to cut interest rates next year, and the yield of 10-year government bonds may be around 1.8%. According to the Shanghai Stock Exchange, from the perspective of many institutions in 2025, the central bank's interest rate cuts will continue. Many institutions believe that in this context, the yield of 10-year government bonds will also fall to around 1.8%. Tan Yiming, a fixed-income analyst at Minsheng Securities, believes that this year's monetary policy framework reform has been promoted, and the 7-day reverse repo rate, as the main policy interest rate, has become the starting point of the interest rate transmission mechanism. It is expected that there will be one or two interest rate cuts in 2025, and the 7-day reverse repo rate will be lowered by about 20 to 40 basis points, and the 10-year government bond yield will be 1.7% to 1.8%.What you need to know about the global news overnight on Tuesday: 1. China's asset carnival overnight. The Hang Seng Index closed up 3.43% and the Hang Seng Technology Index closed up 4.22% overnight. China ETF rose more than 24% when it tripled its wealth. IShares MSCI China ETF closed up 7.76%. FTSE China A50 index futures reopened after closing up 4.66% yesterday afternoon, and closed up 0.86% at night. 2. Nasdaq China Jinlong Index closed up by 8.54%, and many popular Chinese stocks rose by more than 10%. Tiger Securities rose more than 26%, Futu Holdings rose more than 17%, Billie Billie rose more than 21%, Weilai and Xpeng Motors rose more than 12%, iQiyi rose more than 11%, JD.COM rose more than 11%, Pinduoduo and Netease rose more than 10%, and Alibaba, Baidu and LI rose more than 7%. Many rooms touched the fuse many times in intraday trading, and finally closed up 52.14%. 3. The three major US stock indexes collectively closed down, with the Dow down 0.54%, the Nasdaq down 0.62% and the S&P 500 down 0.61%. Bitcoin dropped to $95,000, cryptocurrency concept stocks fell, Riot Platforms fell more than 13%, Coinbase fell nearly 10%, MicroStrategy and Bit Digital fell more than 7%. 4. OpenAI released the long-awaited AI video generation model Sora. The new product is similar to the AI tool DALL-E of OpenArt. Users input the desired scene, and Sara will give back the results of HD video editing. 5. Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau said that if Trump imposes a 25% tariff, Canada "will respond". 6. French President Mark Long will convene representatives of most political parties to hold consultations on the candidate for prime minister on the 10th. 7. A 26-year-old man was arrested in Altoona, Pennsylvania on Monday, and new york police regarded him as a suspect in the shooting of Brian Thompson, CEO of United Health Insurance. 8. The latest issue of "Barometer of Trade in Goods" released by WTO shows that the prosperity index of global trade in goods in the fourth quarter of 2024 is 102.7, which is higher than the benchmark of 100. 9. It is reported that the snack and candy company Yizi International is exploring the acquisition of Hershey, a well-known American chocolate manufacturer. This potential transaction is expected to create a food giant with a total sales of nearly 50 billion US dollars. 10. The Special Investigation Department of the South Korean Prosecutor's Office said on the 9th local time that it issued an arrest warrant against former Defense Minister Jin Longxian on the grounds of "civil strife and abuse of power". 11. Oracle Bone Inscriptions's adjusted revenue in the second quarter was $14.06 billion, and it is expected to be $14.12 billion. Oracle Bone Inscriptions fell more than 8% after hours.In addition to the front page content, today's People's Daily's main financial contents include: 1. Li Qiang met with the heads of the New Development Bank, the World Bank, the World Trade Organization and the International Monetary Fund respectively; 2. Macro-control is effective —— China Economic Observation in 2024 ②; 3. Policy measures in three aspects to further improve employment assistance and create jobs suitable for older people; 4. China plans to train 1,300 overseas Chinese medicine talents in the next three years; 5. Cultivate a complete system and fully stimulate the potential-China Economic Roundtable will talk about expanding domestic demand at the end of the year; 6. All kinds of grain enterprises in the main producing areas have accumulated more than 140 million tons of autumn grain-the harvest is golden and full (big data observation); 7. In the first three quarters, the economic growth rate of the Yangtze River Delta region was 5.4%; 8. How do China enterprises "go global" (current China economic question and answer); 9. Tianjin Binhai New Area will introduce Ximeng Green Power on a large scale to optimize the energy structure and promote green transformation; 10. The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development interprets the integration of new urban infrastructure construction, new generation information technology and urban governance; 11. People's Republic of China (PRC) anti-money laundering law (adopted at the 24th meeting of the 10th the NPC Standing Committee on October 31st, 2006 and revised at the 12th meeting of the 14th the NPC Standing Committee on November 8th, 2024); 12. Hubei financial institutions constantly improve measures to benefit the people and promote agricultural development to increase farmers' income; 13. The 2024 annual forum of the German Chamber of Commerce in China was held in Berlin to strengthen mutually beneficial cooperation and promote win-win development; 14. People in the British industry: The British automobile industry should strengthen cooperation with China.


The suspect involved in the murder of new york, CEO of American insurance giant, was arrested in Pennsylvania. According to foreign media reports, a 26-year-old man was arrested in Altoona, Pennsylvania on Monday, and the new york police regarded him as the person involved in the shooting of Brian Thompson, a joint health insurance executive, in Manhattan. Thompson, 50, died after being shot in the back and legs outside the Hilton Hotel in downtown new york. Police said it was a targeted murder. The man named Luigi Mangione was recognized by employees while eating at a local McDonald's restaurant. The police said that he had a declaration, multiple false identities, an untraceable so-called "ghost gun" and a silencer with him. A person familiar with the matter said that the man carried with him a declaration against capitalism and criticizing medical enterprises for seeking profits.U.S. stock ETFs generally closed down, with regional bank ETFs falling by more than 1.6%. On Monday (December 9), regional bank ETFs closed down by 1.62%, while banking ETFs, financial ETFs, internet stock index ETFs and semiconductor ETFs fell by at least 1%, technology ETFs fell by more than 0.6%, energy ETFs fell by more than 0.1%, and medical ETFs and biotechnology index ETFs rose by about 0.3%.Economists and market institutions believe that the economic growth target will remain at around 5.0% next year, and the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee will hold a meeting on December 9th. At the meeting, the deployment arrangements for economic work in 2025 have attracted much attention from the market. In particular, the meeting has many new expressions that positively set the tone for next year's macro policies, which has stimulated the market's expectation for the introduction of more relaxed incremental policies and stronger support for economic development next year. "Implementing a moderately loose monetary policy" is the first time in 14 years. It is expected that the central bank will take greater efforts to cut interest rates and lower the RRR next year; "Implementing a more active fiscal policy" is positive and proactive, and the direction of fiscal overweight is beyond traditional investment and people's livelihood, and it will further increase consumption and real estate. Looking forward to 2025, economists and market institutions believe that the economic growth target will remain at around 5.0% next year. Li Chao, deputy director and spokesperson of the Policy Research Office of the National Development and Reform Commission, said earlier that more than 300 major reform measures are being accelerated, the innovation-driven development strategy is being implemented in depth, and the real economy and the digital economy, advanced manufacturing and modern service industries are integrating and developing. (Securities Times)

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